So, let's start.
I already have a few names in mind but first I will try to write a list to sort my thoughts.
Firyar &
Eo: thankfully, there's nothing to say about those two.
Me: I'm good, too, and anyway I certainly won't pick myself for the duel.
Chrissly: elects Ghost for captain (I won't write down that everyone elected Firyar, that's obvious), planks Alca, MP (second plank) and MP again. Alca's plank is because she wanted to plank someone who wanted to plank Himmel. She's not very active, but then, it's nothing unusual about her.
I still tend to think she could be a sailor because she tried to protect Himmel and that was not something she's doing normally all the time. I'm not sure, of course, but I don't expect her to be as cunning as a mutineer to protect a sailor on purpose. And I don't know, I could be wrong, but I think it's a little bit more substance in her posts than it normally is when she's a mutineer. So I think it's a chance she could be a sailor and I won't choose her for the duel.
Mailin: elects herself, planks M.P., M.P. and Chrissly. Her posts and actions are perfectly logical, as always, but it's Mailin, and so I can't tell a bit if she's a sailor or a mutineer. Of course, I'm not going to choose her for the duel without an obvious hint from our priest (
who by the way of course needn't reveal himself if it's not an emergency of if he hasn't found 1-2 "big" mutineers. But in the latter case, I would appreciate to get a little hint. )
Seme: elects Eowyn, planks me and Ghost. I'm absolutely not sure what to think about her. Her posts are mostly logical; I've already commented the things I don't agree with. And once again about my plank: ok, if you have sent the plank earlier I can understand it better. Though you were there between the elections and the plank, and I'm still not happy with you having risked to get rid of a good captain in the first night or with your arguments against me. With some of your ideas and analyses, I agree, with others I don't.
I also would like to know what is so suspicious about me that you have put me in your "red list". I wonder why I have been elected for the captain, too, but how does it make me suspicious that others vote for me, something I can't control or do anything against? I didn't exactly wish being a captain, remember? And what else makes you think I'm a mutineer? But well, whatever, it doesn't lead us anywhere right now.
Summarizing, I'm really not sure, Seme could be anything right now, and I won't be very surprised if she mutinies. But same as Mailin, it's far too risky for me to choose her for the duel without an obvious hint of the priest.
Kestrel: elects herself, planks Alca, M.P. and Chrissly. Is not active, not really better than the usual "quiet" players like Chrissly. Well, that means there's not much to analyze, and to make it worse, I have never played with her before, so I can't tell anything about her. Of course, it could be a mutineer that tries to stay in backgroud, but it always could be just because of the language barriers. No idea what she could be.
Wiesel: elects Eowyn, planks Ante, Himmel and Ante. Is not easy to read something out of him, because he's rather quiet, too, though he has mentioned the English language being the reason for that. I have only played one mutiny with him, can anyone else who knows him besser tell me if he's more like a sailor or more like a mutineer right now? Anyway, I wouldn't choose him into the duel.
M.P.: elects himself and Eo, planks Ghost, Himmel and Ante. Though I send a random plank for him myself in the first night, I've got a better feeling about him now. I admint, the thing with a higher possibility that someone very experienced would get a special role was really a strange thought and I understand Mailin suspicing him because of that underground warning "don't plank an experienced player". I'm still not sure but I don't really suspect him at the moment, so I don't tend to choose him into the duel.
Alca: elects Yvaine, planks Eo and Chrissly. She's the one who has considered planking Himmel (random plank) and has changed to Eo. Well, as we now know that Eo is good, it looks good for Alca, because if she had been a mutineer and didn't want to become suspicious planking a sailor, she would have probably switched to a mutineer, wouldn't she? Especially she couldn't know we would learn about Eo's role early and this would look good for her, so I don't think she has planned it. I've got a rather good feeling about her at the moment.
Lexi: elects Mailin, planks Margaret and Ghost. As very often, her posts are logical (but they are when she mutinies, too). Unfortunately, I can't read much out of her, she could be anything for me right now.
Yvaine: elects herself, planks Wiesel, M.P. and Ante. Why, she's pretty interesting because somehow, I don't have a very good feeling about her this time which I normally have. Of course, it could be the english language, but there's something about her I don't like right now. The last plank, Ante, could be a try to look better as a mutineer. The first plank must have been a random plank, right? Well, I'll be watching her very closely (in fact, I already do), but I don't think the bad feeling without real arguments is quite enough to choose her into the duel.
Ghost: elects me, planks no one, Himmel and Nik. I didn't want to plank him earlier because I normally suspect him quickly and it doesn't always mean he has to be a mutineer. But now, after some time has passed, he still hasn't left a very good impression. There are questions (Why did he finally pick me over Lexi? Did he notice I said I didn't have time on Sunday or didn't he?) he hasn't answered yet properly. I didn't notice, has he told us whom he would have planked if he could have sent his first plank? Someone asked him that. He is not as active as we know him, and the overall impression I have got so far isn't really great. I'm thinking about choosing him into the duel right now, I think there's a lot against him right now.
Nik: elects himself and then me, planks M.P., M.P. and Mailin. I have planked him last time, and I still don't have a very good feeling about him. He said he has overread that I didn't wish to become a captain, okay, that was the second election, I kind of understand those who didn't want a very experienced player to become captain voting for me instead of Eo or Mailin. But he was the one who probably has jumped on the bandwagon with his plank of M.P. and since then, I (
edited missing part:) didn't gain more trust in him. His last detailed post 357 doesn't convince me, too, because he doesn't really say much apart from suspecting Ante, Eo and Mailin and mentioning Ghost, Alca and me (though not having a real opinion about us). Well, summarizing he's one of those I have the worst feeling about and I consider choosing him for the duel.
Nam: elects Ghost and me, planks Nik, Himmel and Nik. That's difficult because she is always very logical and writes very good posts, no matter if she's sailor or mutineer. I don't have a very good feeling about her nevertheless, I somehow didn't have since the beginning, though I don't have arguments that you could pin down. She has explained why she has chosen me in the second election for captain, I'm ok with that. The connection to Ghost (and me, too) is strange, if both were mutineers, would Nam choose Ghost to be a captain? I'm not sure but I guess she could have. If Nik really is a mutineer, too, I think it would fit that Nam could plank his colleague to appear good. Of course, I know there are just so many "if"s and it all could be quite innocent and accidential. But I just don't think so. The thing that also has occured to me: Nam does protect Ghost a lot, Yvaine does a bit, too.
Of course, it all could turn out to be a huge mistake, but I still don't like it at all.
I think, for the moment I'm considering
Ghost,
Nam and
Nik for the duel. Which is surprising because I don't agree with Seme in lots of points, but I apparently do concerning Ghost and Nam. What does it tell me? Well, I'll think about that later.
But of course, now I'm eager to hear any other arguments or wishes whom you would like to see in the duel, and most important,
I do wish to hear the thoughts and opinions of Firyar and Eo!
*being so glad that I can discuss it with you two freely and can trust you*